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---
date: '2022-12-19T14:09:11'
hypothesis-meta:
created: '2022-12-19T14:09:11.863238+00:00'
document:
title:
- My AI Safety Lecture for UT Effective Altruism
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- exact: " And famously, self-driving cars have taken a lot longer than many people\
\ expected a decade ago. This is partly because of regulatory barriers and\
\ public relations: even if a self-driving car actually crashes less than\
\ a human does, that\u2019s still not good enough, because when it does crash\
\ the circumstances are too weird. So, the AI is actually held to a higher\
\ standard. But it\u2019s also partly just that there was a long tail of\
\ really weird events. A deer crosses the road, or you have some crazy lighting\
\ conditions\u2014such things are really hard to get right, and of course\
\ 99% isn\u2019t good enough here."
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We can maybe fuzzily see ahe'
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source: https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=6823
text: I think the emphasis is wrong here. The regulation is secondary. The long
tail of weird events is the more important thing.
updated: '2022-12-19T14:09:11.863238+00:00'
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url: /annotations/2022/12/19/1671458951
---
<blockquote> And famously, self-driving cars have taken a lot longer than many people expected a decade ago. This is partly because of regulatory barriers and public relations: even if a self-driving car actually crashes less than a human does, thats still not good enough, because when it does crash the circumstances are too weird. So, the AI is actually held to a higher standard. But its also partly just that there was a long tail of really weird events. A deer crosses the road, or you have some crazy lighting conditions—such things are really hard to get right, and of course 99% isnt good enough here.</blockquote>I think the emphasis is wrong here. The regulation is secondary. The long tail of weird events is the more important thing.